Hi YXI friends,
Please review today’s chart analysis of GOOGL, ETH, RKLB, TTD, and NFLX, as well as the ML model signals of SPY and TSLA.
You can unlock our ML model signals, quantitative, macro, technical, and fundamentals analysis across SPY, QQQ, TLT, Crypto, Gold, Mag-7 stocks, and PLTR in YXI Premium.
DISCLAIMER: This newsletter is intended for educational purposes only. Any information or analysis in this note does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities. Nothing in this note is intended to be investment advice, nor should it be relied upon to make investment decisions. Any opinions, analyses, or probabilities expressed in this note are those of the author as of the note's date of publication and are subject to change without notice.
Table of Contents
1) S&P 500 (SPY ETF)
SPY is still holding the perfect Risk On machine-learning score that has held since mid-May.
The S&P 500 ETF trades above the 50-day MA with realised volatility in line with its 1-year average. This means no doomsday just yet.
2) GOOGL
GOOGL’s chart demonstrates very strong near-term strength. It appears to be moving inside a Primary Wave 3, which is the strongest wave of the cycle.
Wave 3 can reach $478+ in the medium term (12 months+)
3) ETH
ETH’s weekend rally has hit the resistance zone that was previously a support region. There is still a chance we could test for one more low in wave v of (c).
To invalidate this bearish potential, ETH must break above the 50-day MA (in blue) as a minimum. In that bullish case, wave (c) would have ended with just 3 waves down (the red a-b-c) instead of 5.
4) Crypto ML Signals, Advanced Analytics (Promoted)
🤖 Crypto Machine Learning
I run a daily machine-learning model service on Slack for Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH), Solana (SOL), Coinbase (COIN), and Robinhood (HOOD), hosted by Cestrian Capital Research.
💧 Liquidity and Market Analytics
I have also been using advanced crypto analytics for crypto (including alts) on RJ Alpha Dashboard. I am their first official business partner.
5) RKLB
RKLB has earnings after the bell today. It has been trading between the 200-day MA and the VWAP since June. I think the earnings risk is balanced here.
In the broader context, RKLB may be the only public company investment alternative to privately owned SpaceX. SpaceX is currently valued at $400 billion, up from $100 billion from 2021. If RKLB’s 2026 valuation matches the SpaceX valuation multiple of 2021 (40x EV/ Sales), it would be trading around $100 in 12 months.
Technically, RKLB is experiencing a wave 4 pullback. Last week’s fall was sufficient in depth to call wave 4 complete.
6) TTD
TTD’s chart technicals look very ugly. TTD has broken a lower low than the wave (a) low in April 2025. The stock could now be completing wave (c) of (C), with a pullback target below $28.
7) NFLX
NFLX has held its ground during last week’s selloff. On the margin, this is a positive sign of a potential bottom.
Wave C of 4 has a sufficient length of completion relative to wave A. I would be watching for the stock to get above the 200-day MA first, with the potential resistance at the high volume profile region around $1200.
8) TSLA Machine Learning Signal
TSLA is Risk On (bullish) today.
Help Us Spread The Word
Unlock Priority Chart Requests and YX Insights Premium Access by spreading the word!
