Hi YXI friends,
As we enter the heart of this action week, there has been no notable progress in the US-Iran negotiations. Uncle Sam is now focusing on squeezing Iran’s finance via the blockade. It seems to be doing a even better job than bombardment.
Trump has told his aides to prepare for an extended blockade and that it carries less of a risk for the US than resuming hostilities or walking away from the conflict without a deal that curbs Iran’s nuclear activities, the Wall Street Journal reported.
Powell’s “final” FOMC is today, where the Fed is expected not to do anything. But if Warsh does not get his confirmation by mid-June (unlikely), Powell could remain as the interim chair over the next meeting too. I expect today’s Press Conference to really focus on the concerns for inflation above anything else. However, I also expect wordings around the energy shock being a “one-off” impact as the Fed’s baseline projection.
Finally, four of the Mag-7s report after the bell - MSFT, AMZN, META, and GOOGL. Given their enormous CapEx spend, investors have high expectations on the revenue growth acceleration and the forward guidance. They likely shape the entire market move tomorrow and Friday.
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