• YX Insights
  • Posts
  • The YXI Signal (May 14, 2025): META Launch!

The YXI Signal (May 14, 2025): META Launch!

Systematic Signals for Smarter Trades In TSLA, PLTR, META, SPY, QQQ, BTC, AAPL, AMZN, MSFT, TLT

Hi YXI friends,

Today, we are launching the new systematic signals for META. It is the only fitting approach to trade a company that is probably run by an AI bot anyway.

We currently offer SPY, QQQ, BTC, AAPL, AMZN, MSFT, META (new), TSLA, PLTR, and TLT daily quant signals in this service. We combine these signals with our other methodologies in analysing SPY, QQQ, TLT, BTC and Mag-7 in the full daily macro note.

Our holistic approach to the quantitative signals across risk assets and bonds create a sophisticated layer of market analysis that is very unique to us. This not only helps remove the personal fear and greed from the human analysis, but also guides us through the sentiment of the market in an objective manner.

We have been, or rather, the machine has been, correctly calling the latest risk-on rally both early and persistently, capturing substantial gains when others were fearful on the sidelines.

I plan to keep TSLA and PLTR free for everyone, everyday. Please share the newsletter with friends and colleagues who may find it helpful for reference.

Premium subscribers can enjoy daily access to SPY, QQQ, BTC, AAPL, AMZN, MSFT, META, and TLT signals. We are launching NVDA and GOOGL signals next weeks. If you haven’t already, subscribe now to lock in the current price forever.

We employ individual proprietary machine learning models for each name we cover to outperform the Buy-and-Hold strategy. The model examines the various macro drivers and asset specific factors against an asset’s historical price movements. It is a long-only strategy without leverage.

In interpreting the signal, 1 occurs when the model prefers being “position on” and 0 when preferring “cash”. There is no “minimum” holding period when the signal shows 1. The model strategy simply holds the asset until the signal turns to 0. This could be after 1 day, 1 week, or longer.

Currently, the model returns are calculated using the daily closes versus the previous day. In June, we will be moving onto a “buy / sell the market open” strategy for when the signals change.

The model does not try to beat the S&P 500 or produce absolute returns. Moreover, the model does not know when earnings or news events are. Finally, the model will not be 100% correct in its market prediction everyday (no model can be - please run away if someone claims this). The model simply tries to improve our daily edge by a few percentage points over buy-and-hold through more precise pattern recognition than the human eye.

(Note that each model is being improved over time, so the below success rates and back-test results are subject to change. The model outputs are not financial advice and there is no guarantee of future performance.)

Table of Contents

DISCLAIMER: This newsletter is strictly educational. Any information or analysis in this note is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any securities. Nothing in this note is intended to be investment advice and nor should it be relied upon to make investment decisions. Any opinions, analyses, or probabilities expressed in this note are those of the author as of the note's date of publication and are subject to change without notice.

0. META (New!)

The YXI META Signal

Today’s Signal: 1 (Position Long)

(These results are based on historical data and may not predict future performance.)

Strategy Sharpe Ratio: 1.90

Strategy Maximum Drawdown: -18.35%

META Buy & Hold Sharpe Ratio: 0.65

META Buy & Hold Maximum Drawdown: -76.74%

1. TSLA

The YXI TSLA Signal

Today’s Signal: 1 (Position Long)

Previous Day Signal: 1

(These results are based on historical data and may not predict future performance.)

Strategy Sharpe Ratio: 1.70

Strategy Maximum Drawdown: -33.74%

Buy & Hold Sharpe Ratio: 0.78

Buy & Hold Maximum Drawdown: -73.63%

Note the y-axis below is in log scale to offer a clearer comparison between the two strategies.

2. PLTR

The YXI PLTR Signal

Today’s Signal: 1 (Position Long)

Previous Day Signal: 1

(These results are based on historical data and may not predict future performance.)

Strategy Sharpe Ratio: 1.88

Strategy Maximum Drawdown: -40.61%

Buy & Hold Sharpe Ratio: 0.91

Buy & Hold Maximum Drawdown: -79.14%

Note the y-axis below is in log scale to offer a clearer comparison between the two strategies

2.5 Summary Of Today’s YXI Signals

TSLA, PLTR, SPY, QQQ, BTC, AAPL, AMZN, MSFT, META, TLT

Unlock Premium Now

Access valuable subscriber-only content, look through the noise, and gain in-depth understanding of real market drivers.

Already a paying subscriber? Sign In.

A subscription gets you:

  • • In-depth Macro Driven and Quantitative Analysis on Bonds (TLT), Bitcoin (BTC), and Magnificent 7 Stocks (AAPL, AMZN, GOOGL, META, MSFT, NVDA, TSLA).
  • • Our proprietary macro-driven quantitative model has outperformed Buy & Hold significantly—delivering higher returns, lower drawdowns, and improved risk-adjusted performance
  • • Advanced Elliott Wave chart analysis, liquidity indicators, seasonality patterns, and cross-asset correlations to sharpen your market timing

Reply

or to participate.