Hi YXI friends,

The rallies in equities at the open on Thursday got steadily sold into during the day, which did feel like an anticlimax. The US Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit offered Trump a temporary reprieve from the ruling blocking many tariffs by the Court of International Trade, which puts us back to last Friday’s situation. Ultimately, the situation needs to be resolved by the US Supreme Court.

Having said that, both SPY and QQQ and most of the Mag-7 still ended the day in green.

Every Friday, I share the performance of our algorithms since the live launch. I also provide a video market update to our premium subscribers in the separate full macro note.

Performance Since Individual Launch Dates

As our backtests show strong model effectiveness over 1200+ days, we are extremely early in our journey in observing how they interact with unseen market data in real time. Therefore, I really appreciate the patience of our subscribers in following along the live results.

Since launching the models live, I have found the signals very helpful in keeping me in the winning trades for perhaps longer than I would have from technical analysis along (especially when Bitcoin reached $95k earlier). Together with macro, fundamental and technical analysis, the systematic models provide both clarity and confidence in understanding the prevailing market sentiment.

We currently offer SPY, QQQ, BTC, TLT, AAPL, AMZN, GOOGL, META, MSFT, NVDA, TSLA, and PLTR daily systematic signals through machine learning in this service. We combine these signals with our other methodologies in the full daily macro note for in-depth analysis.

I plan to keep TSLA and PLTR free for everyone, everyday. Please share the newsletter with friends and colleagues who may find it helpful for reference.

Premium subscribers can enjoy daily access to SPY, QQQ, BTC, TLT, AAPL, AMZN, GOOGL, META, MSFT, and NVDA signals. If you haven’t already, subscribe now to lock in the current price forever. Our full service price is scheduled to rise to $4995 p.a. in first week of June. 

How The Model Works

We employ proprietary machine learning models for each asset we cover to maximise the Sharpe ratio in trading the name. The model achieves this by examining a number of macro drivers and asset specific factors against the asset’s historical price movements. It is a long-only strategy without leverage.

In interpreting the signal, 1 occurs when the model prefers being “position on” and 0 when preferring “cash”. There is no “minimum” holding period when the signal shows 1. The model strategy simply holds the asset until the signal turns to 0. This could be after 1 day, 1 week, or longer.

The unique strength of our offering is the combination of the independent cross-asset signals everyday, to clearly illustrate the market sentiment.

The model will NOT be 100% correct in its market prediction everyday (no model can be - please run away if someone claims this). Each model is being improved over time, so the below success rates and back-test results are subject to change. Currently, the model returns are calculated using the daily closes versus the previous day. The model outputs are not financial advice and there is no guarantee of future performance.

Table of Contents

• How The Model Works

• 1. TSLA

• 2. PLTR

• 2.5 Summary Of Today’s YXI Signals

• 3. SPY

• 4. QQQ

• 5. BTC

• 6. TLT

• 7. AAPL

• 8. AMZN

• 9. GOOGL

• 10. META

• 11. MSFT

• 12. NVDA

DISCLAIMER: This newsletter is strictly educational. Any information or analysis in this note is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any securities. Nothing in this note is intended to be investment advice and nor should it be relied upon to make investment decisions. Any opinions, analyses, or probabilities expressed in this note are those of the author as of the note's date of publication and are subject to change without notice.

1. TSLA

The YXI TSLA Signal

(These results are based on historical data and may not predict future performance.)

Strategy Sharpe Ratio: 1.70

Strategy Maximum Drawdown: -33.74%

Buy & Hold Sharpe Ratio: 0.78

Buy & Hold Maximum Drawdown: -73.63%

Note the y-axis below is in log scale to offer a clearer comparison between the two strategies.

2. PLTR

The YXI PLTR Signal

(These results are based on historical data and may not predict future performance.)

Strategy Sharpe Ratio: 1.88

Strategy Maximum Drawdown: -40.61%

Buy & Hold Sharpe Ratio: 0.91

Buy & Hold Maximum Drawdown: -79.14%

Note the y-axis below is in log scale to offer a clearer comparison between the two strategies

2.5 Summary Of Today’s YXI Signals

SPY, QQQ, BTC, TLT, AAPL, AMZN, MSFT, META, NVDA, TSLA, PLTR

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