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YXI Market Update Video (August 15, 2025)
Daily Update on SPY, QQQ, TLT, USO, BTC, COIN, Mag-7, Gold, PLTR
Yimin Xu
August 15, 2025
Hi YXI friends,
Please see today’s video update with relevant charts. The video link is in section 1 below.
Happy Friday!
Table of Contents
DISCLAIMER: This newsletter is strictly educational. Any information or analysis in this note is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any securities. Nothing in this note is intended to be investment advice and nor should it be relied upon to make investment decisions. Any opinions, analyses, or probabilities expressed in this note are those of the author as of the note's date of publication and are subject to change without notice.
Please check out our glossary for explaining the acronyms, financial terminology, and economic data.
1. Video Link
You can watch via this link here or the thumbnail below.
Click here for the past YXI article explaining many of the components of the dashboard.
2. SPY, QQQ, (SPDW)
SPDW is updated every Monday.
3. FOMC Projections
We use the Fed Funds futures market to understand the market expectations of future FOMC interest rate decisions.
4. Summary Of Today’s 4-3-2-1 Ratings
SPY, QQQ, BTC, AAPL, AMZN, GOOGL, META, MSFT, NVDA, TSLA, PLTR, TLT
Ticker | YXI Signal | Technical | Valuation | Seasonality | Total | Daily Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SPY | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
QQQ | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
BTC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | -1 |
AAPL | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - |
AMZN | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | +1 |
GOOGL | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - |
META | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - |
MSFT | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
NVDA | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - |
TSLA | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - |
PLTR | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
TLT | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
Bitcoin lost 1 point due to the short-term correction.
AMZN gained 1 point due to the short-term uptrend.
You can read our explainer on the 4-3-2-1 framework here.
5. USO
6. 30-Year Treasury Yield & TLT
US Treasury Yield Curve
US 30Y Yield (https://www.tradingview.com/x/KJGo0Ayy/)
7. Bitcoin (BTC) & Coinbase (COIN)
COIN is updated every Monday.
8. Gold (GLD, GDX)
GDX is updated every Monday
9. Magnificent 7 Stocks
Apple
Amazon
Alphabet
Meta
Microsoft
Nvidia
Tesla
10. Other
SOXX
PLTR
11. Trade Updates & Monitoring
Live Trades
Instrument | Current Price | Trigger Date | Nature | Entry | Target | Target % | Invalidation | Invalidation % |
95.01 | Oct 22, 2024 | 1 Year + | 61.8 | 100 | 61.81% | 53 | -14.24% | |
275.69 | Dec 17, 2024 | 1 Year + | 236 | 387 | 63.98% | 189 | -19.92% | |
37.2 | Apr 14, 2025 | Months | 31 | 45 | 45.16% | 27 | -12.90% |
12. Notable ETF Flows From Previous Day
Recent Notable Flows (% of AUM)
The flows are represented as a percentage of the AUM prior to the flow.
Ticker | AUM ($B) | Flow % AUM | Flow % AUM | Flow % AUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
USD | 1603 | -7.03% | 6.93% | 1.91% |
ARKK | 9966 | 39.23% | 37.57% | 32.15% |
FNGD | 71 | 135.59% | 135.59% | 135.59% |
KOLD | 181 | -5.62% | -10.61% | -40.45% |
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