This website uses cookies

Read our Privacy policy and Terms of use for more information.

Only 21 million bitcoins can ever exist. By 6 October 2026, 95.7% of them had been created.

Bitcoin is a digital currency with no central bank or company behind it. A fixed set of rules decides how payments are recorded and how new coins are made. Here is how those rules work, with the price record since 2014 and its worst falls.

What is Bitcoin? Bitcoin is a digital currency with no central bank behind it. Payments are recorded on a shared public record called a blockchain. Bitcoin's rules cap the supply at 21 million coins.

  • About every 10 minutes, a new batch of payments, called a block, joins the record. Computers called miners compete to add it. The winner earns new coins.

  • The reward for each block halves every 210,000 blocks, roughly every four years. By 6 October 2026, 95.7% of all bitcoins had been created.

  • Bitcoin has fallen more than 75% from a high three times since 2014. Each time, it later reached a new high. On 6 October 2026, it was 31.4% below its October 2025 peak.

What is Bitcoin and how does it work?

Bitcoin started on 3 January 2009. Its creator used the name Satoshi Nakamoto.

Nakamoto's white paper, a short document setting out the design, describes "a purely peer-to-peer version of electronic cash". Peer-to-peer means a payment goes straight from one user to another, with no bank in the middle.

Without a bank, something else has to keep the accounts. Bitcoin uses a ledger: a list of every payment ever made. Computers around the world, called nodes, each hold a full copy. Each node checks every new payment against the rules.

Payments are grouped into blocks. Each block carries a code, called a hash, that is built partly from the block before it. So the blocks form a chain, which gives the blockchain its name.

Changing an old payment would change its block's hash. Every block after it would then have to be rebuilt. That makes the record very hard to rewrite.

Bitcoin's share of the crypto market

Bitcoin is one cryptocurrency among many. Crypto, a shortening of cryptocurrency, is the whole group of digital tokens that run on blockchains. Bitcoin was the first and is the largest.

CoinGecko, a crypto data site, tracked 22,028 active cryptocurrencies on 7 October 2026. Their combined market value was $2.84 trillion. Bitcoin made up 58.8% of it.

Ether, the coin of the Ethereum network, came second at 11.0%. We explain what Ethereum adds in What Is Ethereum? Two stablecoins, tokens built to hold a steady value of one dollar, made up 9.1% between them.

How Bitcoin mining and proof of work add new blocks

Mining is how new blocks are added. Miners are computers that bundle waiting payments into a block. To add it, a miner must find a number that gives the block a hash starting with a long run of zeros.

There is no shortcut to that number. Miners can only guess, over and over, until one gets it right. This is called proof of work. The answer is hard to find but quick for any node to check.

The winning miner earns a reward of new coins, plus the fees attached to the payments in the block. That reward is the only way new bitcoins are created.

The puzzle gets harder or easier every 2,016 blocks, about every two weeks. That keeps blocks coming about every 10 minutes, however much computing power joins. From the first block to the April 2024 halving, the mean gap between blocks was 9.57 minutes.

The Bitcoin halving and the 21 million cap

The reward started at 50 new bitcoins a block. Every 210,000 blocks, the rules cut it in half. This is called the halving. At about 10 minutes a block, 210,000 blocks take roughly four years.

Line chart of the number of bitcoins in existence. It rises steeply from zero in January 2009 to 10.5 million by November 2012, then climbs more slowly after each halving, in 2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024, when the reward per block fell to 25, 12.5, 6.25 and 3.125 coins. It reached 20.09 million on 6 October 2026. A dashed line set by the rules flattens towards the 21 million cap, at 20.96 million by 2044.

Source: Bitcoin protocol rules; blockchain.com; YX Insights

The chart shows the number of bitcoins in existence. The orange marks show the four halvings so far: 28 November 2012, 9 July 2016, 11 May 2020 and 20 April 2024. The reward is now 3.125 bitcoins a block, or about 450 a day.

Each halving period adds half as many coins as the one before. Half of all bitcoins had been created by November 2012. By 6 October 2026, 20.09 million existed, which leaves about 905,000 still to come.

The next halving is due at block 1,050,000. At 10 minutes a block, that falls around April 2028.

The reward reaches zero after 33 halvings, around the year 2140. The total then stops just under 21 million coins.

Bitcoin price history since 2014

The next chart uses a log scale. On a log scale, equal distances on the axis show equal % changes. Each gridline is ten times the one below. So a doubling looks the same size at $1,000 as at $50,000.

Line chart of Bitcoin's price on a log scale. It starts at $732 on 1 January 2014, peaks at $19,188 in December 2017, $67,532 in November 2021 and $124,720 on 6 October 2025, then ends at $85,550 on 6 October 2026.

Source: YX Insights

On 1 January 2014, the first day in our data, one bitcoin cost $732. On 6 October 2026, it cost $85,550, about 117 times as much. The price peaked at $124,720 on 6 October 2025.

Over calendar years, the path was far from smooth. Bitcoin rose 1,217% in 2017. It then lost 69.7% in 2018. It fell 64.2% in 2022, then rose 155.7% in 2023.

Bitcoin's worst falls and whether Bitcoin can go to zero

A drawdown is how far a price stands below its previous high. We explain it in What Is a Drawdown?

Area chart of how far Bitcoin stood below its previous high on each day. The deepest points are 81.4% in January 2015, 83.4% in December 2018, 76.7% in November 2022 and 53.1% in June 2026. On 6 October 2026, it was 31.4% below its high.

Source: YX Insights

The chart shows how far Bitcoin stood below its highest close so far, on every day since January 2014. Bitcoin has fallen more than 75% three times. The falls were 81.4% to January 2015, 83.4% to December 2018 and 76.7% to November 2022.

These falls run from each peak to its low. So they are deeper than the calendar-year losses above. On 41.9% of days since January 2014, Bitcoin stood more than 50% below its previous high.

Our data starts on 1 January 2014, after a high in late 2013. So the first fall is measured from the highest close in our data, on 7 January 2014.

Each time, Bitcoin later went on to a new high. That took about three years after the 2014 and 2017 peaks. After the 2021 peak, it took about two years and four months.

High

Price at the high

Low

Price at the low

Fall

Back above the old high

7 January 2014 (first week of our data)

$919

15 January 2015

$171

81.4%

28 December 2016

17 December 2017

$19,188

16 December 2018

$3,180

83.4%

30 November 2020

13 April 2021

$63,575

20 July 2021

$29,793

53.1%

19 October 2021

8 November 2021

$67,532

21 November 2022

$15,759

76.7%

4 March 2024

6 October 2025

$124,720

30 June 2026

$58,532

53.1%

Not yet (31.4% below on 6 October 2026)

Source: YX Insights

The latest fall began after the 6 October 2025 high. On 30 June 2026, Bitcoin stood 53.1% below that high, its deepest point so far. On 6 October 2026, it was still 31.4% below.

The 2022 fall came as the Federal Reserve raised interest rates 11 times from March 2022 to July 2023. FTX, a large crypto exchange, filed for bankruptcy on 11 November 2022. Bitcoin hit its low ten days later.

Bitcoin also lost value while inflation surged in 2022. We test that in Is Bitcoin an Inflation Hedge?

Can Bitcoin go to zero? Nothing in its rules sets a floor under the price. Bitcoin pays no interest or dividends, so its price is whatever the next buyer will pay.

How Bitcoin is bought and how to read its price

A few practical points:

  • Where it trades. Bitcoin is bought on crypto exchanges. It is held in a digital wallet, which stores the private keys needed to spend it.

  • Funds. The US Securities and Exchange Commission approved spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) on 10 January 2024. They began trading on 11 January 2024. "Spot" means each fund holds real bitcoins.

  • Fractions. One bitcoin divides into 100 million units, called satoshis. So a buyer can own a small slice of one coin.

  • Measure from the high. A price on its own hides the risk. Check how far it stands below its last peak.

  • Use a log scale for long histories. On an ordinary scale, the early years look flat.

Bitcoin is a digital currency run by fixed rules, with no central bank. Miners add a block of payments about every 10 minutes, while the halving slows new supply towards a cap of 21 million.

Its price has fallen more than 75% three times since 2014. Each time, it later reached a new high. Nothing in its rules sets a floor.

Learn more with YX Insights

This explainer is part of the YX Insights Academy. Each one takes a single idea and checks it against real data.

The same approach runs through everything else we publish:

  • Systematic Portfolio: ready-made portfolios for Macro & Megacaps and for Commodities. We publish the holdings and every change.

  • Multi-model Signals: a daily long-or-flat call on every name we cover. Each call shows how strongly our four models agree.

  • Research: company deep dives, macro commentary and essays on how we test.

Good places to start on the website:

Common questions about Bitcoin

Can Bitcoin go to zero?

Nothing in Bitcoin's rules stops its price from falling to zero, because the price is only what buyers will pay. The record so far shows deep falls followed by recoveries. Since 2014, Bitcoin has fallen more than 75% from a high three times. Each time, it later went on to a new high.

Why is Bitcoin falling?

Bitcoin pays no income, so its price rests on demand alone. When buyers pull back, nothing in its rules slows the fall. Its 2022 fall came as the Federal Reserve raised interest rates and as the crypto exchange FTX went bankrupt. On 6 October 2026, Bitcoin was 31.4% below its October 2025 high.

Are Bitcoin and crypto the same thing?

No. Crypto is the whole group of digital tokens that run on blockchains, while Bitcoin is the first and the largest. CoinGecko tracked 22,028 active cryptocurrencies on 7 October 2026. Bitcoin made up 58.8% of their combined market value of $2.84 trillion. Ether was second, at 11.0%.

How many bitcoins are left to mine?

About 905,000 bitcoins were left to mine on 6 October 2026, out of a cap of 21 million. Miners now earn 3.125 new coins a block, about 450 a day. The reward halves every 210,000 blocks, so the last fraction of a coin is due around the year 2140.

What happens when all 21 million bitcoins are mined?

Once the last bitcoin is created, around 2140, miners will earn only the fees attached to payments. Bitcoin's white paper planned for this. It says that once a set number of coins is in circulation, the reward can move entirely to fees. No new coins will be created after that.

DISCLAIMER: This article is strictly educational. Any information or analysis in this note is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any securities. Nothing in this note is intended to be investment advice and nor should it be relied upon to make investment decisions. Any opinions, analyses, or probabilities expressed in this note are those of the author as of the note's date of publication and are subject to change without notice.

Reply

Avatar

or to participate

More From YX Insights

No posts found
View more
caret-right