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Defying Seasonality
Daily Update on SPY, QQQ, Rates, Crypto, Gold, Mag-7, PLTR
Yimin Xu
September 15, 2025
Hi YXI friends,
If 2025 has taught us only one thing, it would be not to fade a raging bull market in the name of seasonality, valuation, or economic data.
A key concept I have been teaching our subscribers is to view the various market factors as part of an elastic band. Sometimes, an expensive valuation can stretch far further than one would expand before snapping back. Other times, poor economic data can be positive market catalysts because of dovish Central Bank expectations. Finally, seasonality describes the direction of the wind, but not necessarily the strength of the bird flying against it.
This week, we will see a new rate cut by the Fed, which has become worried about either the softening of the labour market or Trump hunting down their mortgage applications, or both. Things may not end well at the end of this bull cycle, but enjoy it while we can.
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