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YX INSIGHTS · FEDERAL RESERVE

When is the next Fed meeting?

NEXT FOMC MEETING
27-28 October 2026
No Summary of Economic Projections at this one.
CURRENT TARGET RANGE
3-3/4% to 4%
Federal Funds Rate, set on 16 September 2026.

At its last meeting the Federal Open Market Committee raised the target range by 1/4 percentage point to 3-3/4% to 4% on a 12-0 vote. The statement is released on the second day of a meeting, at 2pm Eastern.

This page is the index for everything published here on the Committee: the full calendar, where policy stands, the decision and vote record back to January 2024, and the explainers underneath each term.

AS AT 15 OCTOBER 2026 · REFRESHED AFTER EACH MEETING BY YIMIN XU · SOURCE: FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

01The calendar

Every FOMC meeting in 2026 and 2027.

Eight scheduled meetings a year, each running two days, with the decision published on the second. Four of the eight carry a Summary of Economic Projections, which is where the Committee publishes its own rate path.

Federal Open Market Committee meetings, 2026
MonthMeeting datesSummary of Economic Projections
January27-28 January 2026—
March17-18 March 2026Yes
April28-29 April 2026—
June16-17 June 2026Yes
July28-29 July 2026—
September15-16 September 2026Yes
October27-28 October 2026—
December8-9 December 2026Yes
Federal Open Market Committee meetings, 2027
MonthMeeting datesSummary of Economic Projections
January26-27 January 2027—
March16-17 March 2027Yes
April27-28 April 2027—
June8-9 June 2027Yes
July27-28 July 2027—
September14-15 September 2027Yes
October26-27 October 2027—
December7-8 December 2027Yes

These dates are the Board’s own. It states that “A two-day meeting is scheduled for January 25-26, 2028. Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it.”

02Where policy stands

The Federal Funds Rate today, and how it got here.

The target range is a band, not a single number. The Committee sets the band, while the effective rate trades inside it.

CURRENT TARGET RANGE
3-3/4% to 4%
Set 16 September 2026.
LAST DECISION
Raise 1/4 point
Vote 12-0.
SINCE JANUARY 2024
22 meetings
6 cuts, 1 increase, 15 holds.

Across the 22 meetings since January 2024 the range peaked at 5-1/4% to 5-1/2% and troughed at 3-1/2% to 3-3/4%. Every decision, every vote split the Board stated and every named dissent is in the table below.

03The record

Every decision, every stated vote split, every named dissent.

Twenty-two meetings, from January 2024 to 16 September 2026. Each date links to the Board’s own statement, so any row can be checked at source in one click.

The Federal Funds Rate target range, January 2024 to 16 September 2026A step line of the midpoint of the target range at each of the 22 Federal Open Market Committee meetings since January 2024. It starts at 5-1/4 to 5-1/2% and ends at 3-3/4 to 4%. Each dot is one meeting, coloured by whether the Committee cut, increased or held.CutIncreaseHold3.25%3.75%4.25%4.75%5.25%5.75%January 31, 2024: Hold, target range 5-1/4 to 5-1/2%March 20, 2024: Hold, target range 5-1/4 to 5-1/2%May 01, 2024: Hold, target range 5-1/4 to 5-1/2%June 12, 2024: Hold, target range 5-1/4 to 5-1/2%July 31, 2024: Hold, target range 5-1/4 to 5-1/2%September 18, 2024: Cut, target range 4-3/4 to 5%November 07, 2024: Cut, target range 4-1/2 to 4-3/4%December 18, 2024: Cut, target range 4-1/4 to 4-1/2%January 29, 2025: Hold, target range 4-1/4 to 4-1/2%March 19, 2025: Hold, target range 4-1/4 to 4-1/2%May 07, 2025: Hold, target range 4-1/4 to 4-1/2%June 18, 2025: Hold, target range 4-1/4 to 4-1/2%July 30, 2025: Hold, target range 4-1/4 to 4-1/2%September 17, 2025: Cut, target range 4 to 4-1/4%October 29, 2025: Cut, target range 3-3/4 to 4%December 10, 2025: Cut, target range 3-1/2 to 3-3/4%January 28, 2026: Hold, target range 3-1/2 to 3-3/4%March 18, 2026: Hold, target range 3-1/2 to 3-3/4%April 29, 2026: Hold, target range 3-1/2 to 3-3/4%June 17, 2026: Hold, target range 3-1/2 to 3-3/4%July 29, 2026: Hold, target range 3-1/2 to 3-3/4%September 16, 2026: Raise, target range 3-3/4 to 4%202420252026

THE FEDERAL FUNDS RATE TARGET RANGE, MIDPOINT, AT EACH MEETING · SOURCE: FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

Federal Open Market Committee decisions, January 2024 to 16 September 2026
MeetingDecisionTarget range afterVoteDissents
16 September 2026Raise 1/4 point3-3/4 to 4%12-0None
29 July 2026Hold3-1/2 to 3-3/4%9-3Beth M. Hammack, Neel Kashkari, and Lorie K. Logan, who preferred to raise the target range for the federal funds rate by 1/4 percentage point at this meeting.
17 June 2026Hold3-1/2 to 3-3/4%12-0None
29 April 2026Hold3-1/2 to 3-3/4%—Stephen I. Miran, who preferred to lower the target range for the federal funds rate by 1/4 percentage point at this meeting; and Beth M. Hammack, Neel Kashkari, and Lorie K. Logan, who supported maintaining the target range for the federal funds rate but did not support inclusion of an easing bias in the statement at this time.
18 March 2026Hold3-1/2 to 3-3/4%—Stephen I. Miran, who preferred to lower the target range for the federal funds rate by 1/4 percentage point at this meeting.
28 January 2026Hold3-1/2 to 3-3/4%—Stephen I. Miran and Christopher J. Waller, who preferred to lower the target range for the federal funds rate by 1/4 percentage point at this meeting.
10 December 2025Cut 1/4 point3-1/2 to 3-3/4%—Stephen I. Miran, who preferred to lower the target range for the federal funds rate by 1/2 percentage point at this meeting; and Austan D. Goolsbee and Jeffrey R. Schmid, who preferred no change to the target range for the federal funds rate at this meeting.
29 October 2025Cut 1/4 point3-3/4 to 4%—Stephen I. Miran, who preferred to lower the target range for the federal funds rate by 1/2 percentage point at this meeting, and Jeffrey R. Schmid, who preferred no change to the target range for the federal funds rate at this meeting.
17 September 2025Cut 1/4 point4 to 4-1/4%—Stephen I. Miran, who preferred to lower the target range for the federal funds rate by 1/2 percentage point at this meeting.
30 July 2025Hold4-1/4 to 4-1/2%—Michelle W. Bowman and Christopher J. Waller, who preferred to lower the target range for the federal funds rate by 1/4 percentage point at this meeting. Absent and not voting was Adriana D. Kugler.
18 June 2025Hold4-1/4 to 4-1/2%—None
7 May 2025Hold4-1/4 to 4-1/2%—None
19 March 2025Hold4-1/4 to 4-1/2%—Christopher J. Waller, who supported no change for the federal funds target range but preferred to continue the current pace of decline in securities holdings.
29 January 2025Hold4-1/4 to 4-1/2%—None
18 December 2024Cut 1/4 point4-1/4 to 4-1/2%—Beth M. Hammack, who preferred to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 4-1/2 to 4-3/4 percent.
7 November 2024Cut 1/4 point4-1/2 to 4-3/4%—None
18 September 2024Cut 1/2 point4-3/4 to 5%—Michelle W. Bowman, who preferred to lower the target range for the federal funds rate by 1/4 percentage point at this meeting.
31 July 2024Hold5-1/4 to 5-1/2%—None
12 June 2024Hold5-1/4 to 5-1/2%—None
1 May 2024Hold5-1/4 to 5-1/2%—None
20 March 2024Hold5-1/4 to 5-1/2%—None
31 January 2024Hold5-1/4 to 5-1/2%—None

The Vote column is blank where the Board states no split. It publishes a tally on some statements and not others, so an empty cell here means the Board did not give one. The Dissents column is its own wording, with the lead-in removed.

04The scored read

How each meeting scored, across the last 16 meetings.

READ THIS BEFORE THE SCORES

These scores are judgements produced by a model, not measurements. A model reads the statement, the minutes, the Summary of Economic Projections and the press conference against a fixed guide, then scores them.

Two people reading the same meeting would score it differently, so read a score as one consistent reading applied the same way to every meeting. The decisions, the vote splits and the dissents in the table above are a different thing: those are the Board’s own published facts, not a reading of them.

HAWKISH AND DOVISH COMPOSITE

One score per meeting, from the statement language, the vote split, the direction the dot plot moved and the tone of the press conference. Below zero leans dovish, above it hawkish.

The hawkish and dovish composite at each of the last 16 meetingsA line of one score per meeting on a scale running from minus ten, maximum dovish, to plus ten, maximum hawkish. It reads -1.5 at 7 November 2024, troughs at -3.5 in Sep 2025, and ends at +6.5 at 16 September 2026.-10-50+5+10HAWKISHDOVISH7 November 2024: -1.518 December 2024: +329 January 2025: +2.519 March 2025: +0.57 May 2025: +1.518 June 2025: +1.530 July 2025: +2.517 September 2025: -3.529 October 2025: -1.510 December 2025: -128 January 2026: +2.518 March 2026: +229 April 2026: +3.517 June 2026: +5.529 July 2026: +616 September 2026: +6.5202420252026

SWIPE THE CHART SIDEWAYS ON A PHONE

The direction is the point. The composite troughed at -3.5 in Sep 2025 and has read more hawkish at almost every meeting since, ending at +6.5 on 16 September 2026. That is the same stretch over which the Committee stopped cutting and then raised.

WHAT THE COMMITTEE SPENT ITS TIME ON

Eight areas, scored for how much of each meeting they took up. A high score means the area was discussed a lot, not that it was a problem.

How much attention each area got, 0 to 10, newest meeting first
Meetinginflationemploymentgrowthfinancial
conditions
geopoliticalhousingfiscalbanking
Sep 2026106763002
Jul 2026106776213
Jun 2026106867323
Apr 2026107669323
Mar 2026108669333
Jan 202699863343
Dec 202599763345
Oct 202599764366
Sep 2025910654322
Jul 202598765434
Jun 2025108754232
May 202597769233
Mar 202597857353
Jan 2025108763464
Dec 2024107752463
Nov 202498763444

SWIPE THE TABLE SIDEWAYS ON A PHONE

Inflation has not dropped below 9 out of 10 at any meeting in this window. Read the columns down rather than across: what moves is which of the other seven rises to sit beside it.

THE PRESS CONFERENCE

Four readings of the Chair’s hour in front of the room. Tone is the hawkish or dovish lean and runs below zero when dovish, as low as -3 here. Pushback is how hard the Chair resisted what the market had priced. Data dependency is how much weight was put on what the next figures show. Guidance clarity is how plainly the next move was signalled. The last three run 0 to 10.

Four readings of the Chair’s press conference, newest meeting first
Meetingtonepushbackdata
dependency
guidance
clarity
Sep 20267547
Jul 20266632
Jun 20265582
Apr 20262393
Mar 20261393
Jan 20262493
Dec 20251495
Oct 20252885
Sep 2025-3584
Jul 20252594
Jun 20252684
May 202516103
Mar 20250593
Jan 20252595
Dec 20243486
Nov 2024-1593

SWIPE THE TABLE SIDEWAYS ON A PHONE

Scores from the YX Insights FOMC model, captured 15 October 2026. The post-meeting asset returns are measured from prices rather than judged, so they are kept with the rest of the measured work on the platform instead of beside these readings.

05Read the detail

13 explainers, all free, no card and no login.

Each one covers a single term or a single meeting. Start wherever the gap is.

06How this page is kept

Refreshed after every meeting.

The next meeting date and the target range at the top of this page go stale by design, so both carry a date. The page is refreshed after each decision, which means the next refresh follows the meeting on 27-28 October 2026.

AS AT
15 October 2026
REFRESHED BY
Yimin Xu
SOURCE FOR EVERY FIGURE
Federal Reserve Board

Published for information and education. It is not personalised advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and it carries no price target. Meeting dates are the Board’s own and each is tentative until confirmed at the meeting before it. Capital is at risk.