Hi YXI friends,
This is one of the most surprising and perhaps hated bull markets we’ve seen. Surprising, given the macroeconomic uncertainties surrounding tariffs, jobs, and inflation. Hated, because A LOT of people missed it and failed to reconcile their version of how markets “should trade” with the reality of the market.
This is why, while I come from a macro trading background (interest rate & FX swaps), I have unlearnt my prior assumptions about how assets “should” trade with the macro.
Instead, I examine the actual relationships between the different assets through quantitative methods, making no assumptions about the type of relationships they must hold at any particular point in time. We further incorporate the asset-specific price behaviour, chart analysis, and fundamentals to arrive at the overall picture.
This way, we keep ourselves on the right side of the market, rather than the side of human bias.
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DISCLAIMER: This newsletter is intended for educational purposes only. Any information or analysis in this note does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities. Nothing in this note is intended to be investment advice, nor should it be relied upon to make investment decisions. Any opinions, analyses, or probabilities expressed in this note are those of the author as of the note's date of publication and are subject to change without notice.
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