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Microsoft's Azure grew 48% YoY in the quarter to September, up from 40% a year earlier. Over the same three months, free cash flow (non-GAAP) fell 27.4% YoY.

Microsoft spent $45.2 billion on CapEx including finance leases in the quarter, as it builds out AI data centres. It guides calendar 2026 CapEx to about $170 billion. The day after results, it priced $25.0 billion of new notes.

Customer contracts back much of that spending. Commercial RPO (revenue customers have contracted but Microsoft has not yet recognised) was $677 billion, up 73% YoY. The shares closed at a record $555.80 on 4 November.

Today's note covers Azure and the backlog, guidance, the impact of the AI buildout on cash flow, the valuation, and what today's share price assumes.

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DISCLAIMER: This newsletter is intended for educational purposes only. Any information or analysis in this note does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities. Nothing in this note is intended to be investment advice, nor should it be relied upon to make investment decisions. Any opinions, analyses, or probabilities expressed in this note are those of the author as of the note's date of publication and are subject to change without notice.

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